Who gets replaced first?
Ranked by years until AI starts replacing people · the United States
Which jobs could AI replace, and which are more resilient?
This list orders occupations by the estimated onset of AI impact in our model. Open a career to see its reasoning. It is not an official government ranking or a list of jobs guaranteed to disappear.
How should you compare jobs at risk from AI?
Look at the mix of routine work, judgment, physical tasks, and interaction with other people. Then consider whether an employer can integrate tools into that workflow. Two jobs with the same title can have different responsibilities.
Are any jobs completely safe from AI?
A later estimate does not establish that a job is immune. Even roles involving physical work or close personal interaction can use AI for documentation and planning. Use the ranking to identify careers to investigate, then read their task-level explanations.
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