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Railroad Conductor
🇺🇸 United States · Transport & LogisticsWatch closely#570 of 790 jobs in the United States · Among the safest 28%
My Job Lifespan
11 yrs 11 mo
00days 00:00:00:000
until AI starts replacing people in this job
Sep 8, 2038 · 4365 days left
Class I railroads want ground-based conductors, but the FRA two-person crew rule and SMART-TD contracts hold; cuts start once the rule is rolled back, ~2038.
AI vs Humans: whose side are you on?
Replacement riskMedium
Human share in 204645%
Growth 24–34+2%
Estimated AI timeline
AI impact · Shrinking2026 · Now2056
Likely range 6 yrs 11 mo – 18 yrs 11 mo
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Where you stand
#570 of 790 jobs in the United States — you get replaced sooner than 24% of jobs.
Replaced first · highest risk
- Helping passengers and resolving disputes on board
- Coupling cars and checking brakes in the yard
- Guiding evacuations when a train stops mid-route



Comments· English