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Engineering Manager (CTO / Dev Team Lead)
🇺🇸 United States · Tech & DataNext in line#147 of 790 jobs in the United States · Among the riskiest 19%
My Job Lifespan
3 yrs 11 mo
00days 00:00:00:000
until AI starts replacing people in this job
Sep 8, 2030 · 1443 days left
Once coding agents shrink teams, fewer teams need leads; direction calls, hiring and ship/no-ship stay human, so cuts trail developers by a year or two.
AI vs Humans: whose side are you on?
Replacement riskHigh
Human share in 204640%
Growth 24–34+13%
Estimated AI timeline
AI impact · Shrinking2026 · Now2034
Likely range 1 yr 11 mo – 6 yrs 11 mo
Top 3 jobs to switch toShown after the test
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Where you stand
#147 of 790 jobs in the United States — you get replaced sooner than 76% of jobs.
Replaced first · highest risk
- Deciding what to build when the team disagrees
- Hiring, coaching and retaining engineers
- Owning the call to ship or delay
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